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Moving toward a Biden administration.

November 25, 2020

Climate change and immigration will be two areas of policy that will be sharply different from what we have seen during the Trump administration.
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Allegations – but so far no evidence.

Allegations – but so far no evidence.

November 18, 2020

Though election officials in all of the six battleground states dispute the claim, the Trump campaign nevertheless alleges that there was massive election fraud.
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It’s even closer than you realize.

It’s even closer than you realize.

November 11, 2020

It’s not really even about six states. It’s about the one largest metro county in each of those states – all of which are run by Democrats.
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Most Unsatisfying

Most Unsatisfying

November 4, 2020

Neither side can claim victory. Neither side can even start processing the idea of losing.
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Decision Time

Decision Time

November 3, 2020

But Election Day has already happened for most voters. As of last evening, just under 100 million U.S voters have already cast their ballots – a number that represents approximately 78 percent of the total votes cast in 2016.
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Rounding the fourth turn.

Rounding the fourth turn.

October 28, 2020

Ten months of unprecedented tumult precede an election day that promises to be like none we have ever experienced.
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Both sides headed for victory.

Both sides headed for victory.

October 21, 2020

There are reasons for both sides to be optimistic with less than two weeks to go before Election Day.
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Rounding the fourth turn.

Rounding the fourth turn.

October 28, 2020

Ten months of unprecedented tumult precede an election day that promises to be like none we have ever experienced.
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It looks like Biden. But it feels like Trump.

It looks like Biden. But it feels like Trump.

October 14, 2020

While it’s true that Donald Trump is down in almost all of the brand name polls, it is also true that he is polling even or ahead of where he was in those same polls at this point in the 2016 campaign.
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The COVID campaign rolls on.

The COVID campaign rolls on.

October 7, 2020

For the sake of a complete record when this election is at last, finally over, let’s have a rundown of events since we met last week. In the wee, small hours of the morning last Friday we learned that President Trump tested positive for COVID-19. Later that day, he walked...
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Not your father’s presidential debate.

Not your father’s presidential debate.

September 30, 2020

While it’s true that Donald Trump is down in almost all of the brand name polls, it is also true that he is polling even or ahead of where he was in those same polls at this point in the 2016 campaign.
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Supreme events.

Supreme events.

September 23, 2020

We have said in our weekly reports over these two cycles that events also dictate the courses of campaigns. So it is following the death last Friday of Supreme Court justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg.
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On a streak.

On a streak.

September 16, 2020

Most of the brand-name polls have Joe Biden in the lead but it doesn’t feel that way in light of recent events. We start with yesterday. On the south lawn of the White House President Trump, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and the foreign ministers of Bahrain and United Arab...
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The race is on.

The race is on.

September 9, 2020

The experts – including the brand name pollsters – got it wrong four years ago and could very well be setting themselves up to get it wrong again.
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On a streak.

Events once again.

September 2, 2020

We have said many times in covering presidential elections that events set the agenda. To illustrate that point, let’s jump in the Wayback Machine and dial it in for March 18 of this year. Joe Biden had just won big in Democratic primaries over the two previous weeks – including...
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The warm up acts steal the show at the RNC.

The warm up acts steal the show at the RNC.

August 26, 2020

The Republican National Convention is underway this week and just like last week’s Democratic National Convention, it is greatly scaled down and largely “virtual.” The Republicans got the main business out of the way Monday night by formally re-nominating Donald Trump for president and Mike Pence for vice president. The...
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Will the real Joe Biden please stand up.

Will the real Joe Biden please stand up.

August 19, 2020

Is it Biden the centrist moderate? Or is it Biden of the ascendant left in the Democratic Party?
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The ballot’s in the mail.

The ballot’s in the mail.

August 5, 2020

Mail-in balloting is a contentious issue in an election cycle that is certain to be the most contentious in history.
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The relentless coronavirus campaign.

The relentless coronavirus campaign.

July 29, 2020

The 2020 campaign – indeed virtually every aspect of daily life – continues to be dominated by the coronavirus.
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The soundbite campaign.

The soundbite campaign.

July 22, 2020

Few campaign events. Little resembling the clichéd “campaign trail.” No massive Trump rallies. This election cycle will be remembered as the “soundbite campaign.”
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Rose Garden campaign.

Rose Garden campaign.

July 15, 2020

The COVID campaign is not entirely without precedent. In 1980, a beleaguered Jimmy Carter tried to campaign from the Rose Garden.
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Inflection point.

Inflection point.

July 8, 2020

The president gave a speech that wasn’t a campaign speech but yet may turn out to be the most important speech of his campaign.
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A campaign in trouble.

A campaign in trouble.

July 1, 2020

Four months is an eternity in politics. But it is clear that the president’s reelection bid has hit a low ebb.
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Shades of 1968.

Shades of 1968.

July 8, 2020

The Bernie Sanders wing of the party isn’t giving up in its quest to pull the party sharply to the left even as President Trump continues to promote law and order.
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Mano a mano

Mano a mano

July 1, 2020

It’s now Biden v. Trump – mano a mano – between now and November.
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Where will the conventions be? Will they be?

Where will the conventions be? Will they be?

July 3, 2020

The Dems are currently set for Aug. 17 in Milwaukee. The Republicans are set for a week later in Charlotte. Every bit of that could change.
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The Coronavirus Campaign continues.

The Coronavirus Campaign continues.

May 27, 2020

Biden and Trump are relegated by the coronavirus to making campaign news from their respective home bases.
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The polls tell an interesting story.

The polls tell an interesting story.

May 20, 2020

Polls don’t really mean a lot right now. Yet, they’re out there and it’s hard not to see them and take note of what they say.
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Advantage Nobody

Advantage Nobody

May 13, 2020

A campaign locked in the home basement. An incumbent robbed of his two best weapons. It’s advantage no one in the 2020 presidential campaign.
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Headwind

Headwind

May 6, 2020

It wasn’t long ago that Joe Biden was on top of the world. Today, he’s dealing with headwinds, the velocity of which may be increasing.
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Bernie's mad as hell.

Bernie's mad as hell.

April 29, 2020

Sanders knows he’s not going to win but he wants to be a name on a ballot at a primary election anyway.
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No news is...news.

No news is...news.

April 22, 2020

A campaign will eventually have to happen and things attendant to it are happening – mostly out of public view.
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We'll see what happens.

We'll see what happens.

April 15, 2020

In a normal world, the news cycle would be filled with Biden events, Trump events, talk of the coming debates, Biden firing off at Trump and Trump firing back hard and in signature style.
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Biden at a disadvantage

Biden at a disadvantage

April 8, 2020

Since Super Tuesday, Joe Biden has been eclipsed by the COVID-19 story and is struggling to generate enthusiasm even among committed Democrats – never mind the much coveted “independents.”
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Event, yet again.

Event, yet again.

April 1, 2020

In a normal world, the news cycle would be filled with Biden events, Trump events, talk of the coming debates, Biden firing off at Trump and Trump firing back hard and in signature style.
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The coronavirus campaign.

The coronavirus campaign.

March 25, 2020

There is really no precedent for an American presidential election like this one. We cannot look to history for guidance.
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Pandemic primary.

Pandemic primary.

March 18, 2020

The math is now daunting for Bernie Sanders. Increasingly, it is daunting for Donald Trump, too.
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The second best Tuesday of Joe Biden’s life.

The second best Tuesday of Joe Biden’s life.

March 11, 2020

What we have witnessed in the past two weeks is likely the most dramatic political comeback any of us will ever see in our lives.
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The best Tuesday of Joe Biden’s life.

The best Tuesday of Joe Biden’s life.

March 18, 2020

This morning, former Vice President Joe Biden is waking up at the end of the best week of his political life.
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South Carolina is a ‘must win’ for Biden.

South Carolina is a ‘must win’ for Biden.

February 26, 2020

If Biden doesn’t win South Carolina, the race will likely quickly winnow down to a two-man contest between Bernie Sanders and Mike Bloomberg.
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Here comes Bloomberg.

Here comes Bloomberg.

February 19, 2020

Another presidential election, another never-been-seen-before candidate.
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Leaving NH, the Dem race is tight.

Leaving NH, the Dem race is tight.

February 12, 2020

It’s a long way to November. But for Democrats, it may be an even longer way to the convention in July.
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Some voters in Manchester tell us how they voted.

Manchester voters tell us how they voted.

February 19, 2020

The candidates have made their cases. Now it’s up to the voters.
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Left or far left?

Left or far left?

February 11, 2020

If you’re paying attention at all you cannot deny that the Democratic Party has moved far to the left since the 2016 election.
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Conservatives will agree with Nixon.

Conservatives will agree with Nixon.

February 19, 2020

Even if Cynthia Nixon is far too liberal for your taste, she speaks the truth today at a Bernie Sanders rally on the campus of Franklin Pierce University in Rindge, NH.
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Left or far left?

Will the Dems let Bernie win?

February 9, 2020

Establishment Democrats were counting on Biden. With Biden’s fortunes falling, the Dems are now in a scramble.
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Off to a shaky start.

Off to a shaky start.

February 19, 2020

The Iowa Caucuses were held Monday night. At this writing Wednesday morning, the Democratic Party in Iowa still cannot say officially who won.
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