Tagged: 2016 general election

The peasants speak.

In a stunning repudiation of the so-called political establishment, a 70-year old real estate billionaire tycoon turned reality TV star with exactly no prior experience in politics concluded his first-ever political campaign by winning the highest political office in the world last night. It is nothing less than seismic. Late...

No one knows anything.

No one knows anything. Since February, when it began appearing that the top of the card would feature Clinton vs. Trump, I have been saying that no one knows anything. The metrics that have been used successfully to handicap previous presidential elections don’t work this time. There is too much...

The campaign and the grocery money.

Either the race is already over or it’s not. The answer depends on how much faith you have in polls – particularly in this most unusual of presidential election years. If you have faith in the polls – and as of now based on experience in 2012 and 2008 there...

Trump is down. But it’s not quite over.

If the polls are to be believed, Hillary Clinton has the race all but sewn up. The Real Clear Politics average of polls shows her with a seven percentage point advantage over Donald Trump nationally. A relentless assault by the Clinton campaign and by the media on Trump’s sexual past...

Is it over?

Is Trump finished? Certainly any prior Republican candidate would be. A Bill Clinton can be accused of sexual assault and still get elected president. But that’s because Democrats have an easier time in the media. A Republican, on the other hand, can expect to be hounded for any transgression no...

Hillary’s late season challenge.

Performances late in the season tend to be decisive. Texas Rangers fans remember September of 2012. Going in to the month, the Rangers led the division and it seemed that they had a real shot at a third consecutive World Series. But their lead evaporated and it came down to...

Small is the gate and narrow the road.

Donald Trump’s path to victory is narrowing. According to the Real Clear Politics average of polls, Hillary Clinton leads Trump nationally among likely voters by a margin of 47 to 41.5 percent. That’s the good news for Trump. The bad news is in the polling in key states such as...

A most unlikely event.

Last June, the political and pundit class was busy dismissing the just-announced Republican presidential candidacy of Donald Trump. Some said it was a stunt. Some said it was to advance his reality TV career. Few took it seriously. Then all summer and into the fall leading up to primary season,...

Just as we thought in back in New Hampshire.

With the 2016 presidential primary season now over, it’s off to the conventions for Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton. Contrary to some earlier predictions, the GOP convention in Cleveland will likely be pretty typical of modern party conventions. The affair will be a nationally-televised pep rally aimed at rallying support...

Are we sure Joe Biden’s out of the picture?

Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump will each wrap up the nominations of their respective parties week after next. Primary season will come to a close as the votes are counted in California on the evening of Tuesday, June 7. From there it’s off to the conventions on the way to...