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Dr. Bob’s Weather Report and Forecast

Posted/updated on: April 27, 2015 at 3:46 pm   Print This Print This

WEATHER REPORT AND SUMMARY:
KTYR
VT [VALID TIME] THROUGH 04/28/2015@0500C
ISSUED: 04/27/2015 1546C

TYLER-LONGVIEW METROPOLITAN AREA FORECAST:
TONIGHT: cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely, low middle 50s, north winds 5-10 mph, (60 percent probability for measurable precipitation,) severe risk–marginal;
TUESDAY: cloudy with a 40 percent chance for showers during the morning, high lower 60s, north winds 10-15 mph;
TUESDAY NIGHT: partly cloudy, low upper 40s, north winds 5-10 mph;
WEDNESDAY: mostly sunny, high near 70, northwest winds about 10 mph;
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: mostly clear, low near 50, light easterly winds;
THURSDAY: mostly sunny, high middle 70s, southeast winds about 10 mph.
EXTENDED FORECAST:
THURSDAY NIGHT: mostly clear, low lower 50s;
FRIDAY: mostly sunny, high upper 70s;
FRIDAY NIGHT: mostly clear, low middle 50s;
SATURDAY: partly cloudy, high near 80;
SATURDAY NIGHT: partly cloudy, low upper 50s;
SUNDAY: partly cloudy, high upper 70s;
SUNDAY NIGHT: partly cloudy, low lower 60s;
MONDAY: partly cloudy, high lower 80s.
MID-RANGE OUTLOOK FOR MAY 5-11, 2015:
Near normal temperatures and near normal precipitation.

TYLER CLIMATE DATA FOR April 27, 2015
(The report is for the twemty hours ending at 2000 Greenwich
Mean Time, 3:00 p.m. Central Daylight-saving Time. The maximum
and minimum temperatures represent the observations during the preceding fourteen hours, and precipitation during the preceding twenty hours. The temperature and cumulative precipitation observations are made at NWS/419207, Tyler, Texas City Office, 95.3W/32.3N, 158M.
MAXIMUM 73
MINIMUM 59
PRECIPITATION 0.55
MONTH-TO-DATE PRECIPITATION 7.40
YEAR-TO-DATE PRECIPITATION 24.45

LONGVIEW CLIMATE DATA FOR April 27, 2015
(The report is for the twenty hours ending at 2000 Greenwich
Mean Time, 3:00 p.m. Central Daylight-saving Time. The maximum
and minimum temperatures represent observations during the preceding fourteen hours, while the precipitation represents observations during the preceding twenty hours. The observations are made at WMO/722470, Longview, Texas–East Texas Regional Airport, [94.7W/32.4N, 107M]
MAXIMUM 72
MINIMUM 58
PRECIPITATION 0.21
MONTH-TO-DATE PRECIPITATION 5.81
YEAR-TO-DATE PRECIPITATION 22.86

PUBLIC FORECAST EXPLANATION
ISSUED: 04/27/2015 1447C
The big questions with tonight’s forecast are: will we have thunderstorms, and if we do,
will they be severe?
In answer to the first, I think we will, and they’ll be in here around nightfall. I base this
on the presence of a frontal zone south of IH-20 and another from Wichita Falls to Lampasas;
those will serve as focusing mechanisms. There is still the upper air low east of Lubbock to
provide lift, and very ample moisture.
Insofar as severe: the activity of early this morning stabilized the atmosphere. Also,
despite the afternoon sunshine, we’re still in the cool sector over most of the region. So, I doubt
a widespread severe event. What severe weather develops should be from Lufkin southward.
Light showers could continue into tomorrow morning before the cool air mass associated
with the West Texas upper air low arrives. That clears us out as that low goes east of the region
tomorrow evening.
We’re then looking at two or three days with below normal temperatures, with readings
going back to normal by late-week.
The extended forecast data suggests still that our next storm system will not arrive here
until the middle of next week. Thus, we’re looking at five or six days of dry weather.
The two heaviest rainfall reports from the region this morning were 3.46 inches from
Mart, and 2.44 from a station southeast of Lufkin. Amounts south of IH-20 were around
three/fourths of an inch or greater, while amounts north of IH-20 were less down to only a few
hundredths in the far north.
At mid-afternoon, skies are sunny, temperatures in the 70s, and winds light easterly over
the region. RKP

CODED CITIES FORECAST–TYR
ISSUED: 04/27/2015 1517C

DAY WX TEMP POP
Tuesday RAIN 54/64 60%/40%
Wednesday SUNNY 48/71 10%/00%
Thursday SUNNY 52/74 00%/00%


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Dr. Bob’s Weather Report and Forecast

Posted/updated on: April 27, 2015 at 3:46 pm   Print This Print This

WEATHER REPORT AND SUMMARY:
KTYR
VT [VALID TIME] THROUGH 04/28/2015@0500C
ISSUED: 04/27/2015 1546C

TYLER-LONGVIEW METROPOLITAN AREA FORECAST:
TONIGHT: cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely, low middle 50s, north winds 5-10 mph, (60 percent probability for measurable precipitation,) severe risk–marginal;
TUESDAY: cloudy with a 40 percent chance for showers during the morning, high lower 60s, north winds 10-15 mph;
TUESDAY NIGHT: partly cloudy, low upper 40s, north winds 5-10 mph;
WEDNESDAY: mostly sunny, high near 70, northwest winds about 10 mph;
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: mostly clear, low near 50, light easterly winds;
THURSDAY: mostly sunny, high middle 70s, southeast winds about 10 mph.
EXTENDED FORECAST:
THURSDAY NIGHT: mostly clear, low lower 50s;
FRIDAY: mostly sunny, high upper 70s;
FRIDAY NIGHT: mostly clear, low middle 50s;
SATURDAY: partly cloudy, high near 80;
SATURDAY NIGHT: partly cloudy, low upper 50s;
SUNDAY: partly cloudy, high upper 70s;
SUNDAY NIGHT: partly cloudy, low lower 60s;
MONDAY: partly cloudy, high lower 80s.
MID-RANGE OUTLOOK FOR MAY 5-11, 2015:
Near normal temperatures and near normal precipitation.

TYLER CLIMATE DATA FOR April 27, 2015
(The report is for the twemty hours ending at 2000 Greenwich
Mean Time, 3:00 p.m. Central Daylight-saving Time. The maximum
and minimum temperatures represent the observations during the preceding fourteen hours, and precipitation during the preceding twenty hours. The temperature and cumulative precipitation observations are made at NWS/419207, Tyler, Texas City Office, 95.3W/32.3N, 158M.
MAXIMUM 73
MINIMUM 59
PRECIPITATION 0.55
MONTH-TO-DATE PRECIPITATION 7.40
YEAR-TO-DATE PRECIPITATION 24.45

LONGVIEW CLIMATE DATA FOR April 27, 2015
(The report is for the twenty hours ending at 2000 Greenwich
Mean Time, 3:00 p.m. Central Daylight-saving Time. The maximum
and minimum temperatures represent observations during the preceding fourteen hours, while the precipitation represents observations during the preceding twenty hours. The observations are made at WMO/722470, Longview, Texas–East Texas Regional Airport, [94.7W/32.4N, 107M]
MAXIMUM 72
MINIMUM 58
PRECIPITATION 0.21
MONTH-TO-DATE PRECIPITATION 5.81
YEAR-TO-DATE PRECIPITATION 22.86

PUBLIC FORECAST EXPLANATION
ISSUED: 04/27/2015 1447C
The big questions with tonight’s forecast are: will we have thunderstorms, and if we do,
will they be severe?
In answer to the first, I think we will, and they’ll be in here around nightfall. I base this
on the presence of a frontal zone south of IH-20 and another from Wichita Falls to Lampasas;
those will serve as focusing mechanisms. There is still the upper air low east of Lubbock to
provide lift, and very ample moisture.
Insofar as severe: the activity of early this morning stabilized the atmosphere. Also,
despite the afternoon sunshine, we’re still in the cool sector over most of the region. So, I doubt
a widespread severe event. What severe weather develops should be from Lufkin southward.
Light showers could continue into tomorrow morning before the cool air mass associated
with the West Texas upper air low arrives. That clears us out as that low goes east of the region
tomorrow evening.
We’re then looking at two or three days with below normal temperatures, with readings
going back to normal by late-week.
The extended forecast data suggests still that our next storm system will not arrive here
until the middle of next week. Thus, we’re looking at five or six days of dry weather.
The two heaviest rainfall reports from the region this morning were 3.46 inches from
Mart, and 2.44 from a station southeast of Lufkin. Amounts south of IH-20 were around
three/fourths of an inch or greater, while amounts north of IH-20 were less down to only a few
hundredths in the far north.
At mid-afternoon, skies are sunny, temperatures in the 70s, and winds light easterly over
the region. RKP

CODED CITIES FORECAST–TYR
ISSUED: 04/27/2015 1517C

DAY WX TEMP POP
Tuesday RAIN 54/64 60%/40%
Wednesday SUNNY 48/71 10%/00%
Thursday SUNNY 52/74 00%/00%


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Ft. Worth/Dallas

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